Sunday, November 11, 2012

Week 10 AFC East game picks: Bills at Patriots

Lead writer Nick St. Denis and AFC East Daily contributors Dan Begnoche and Sean Donovan pick the New England Patriots' divisional contest with the Buffalo Bills.

Nick's take:
The Bills' strength on offense is its tailbacks, and the Patriots' strength on defense is run-stopping. Conversely, Buffalo's Ryan Fitzpatrick-led passing offense isn't scary at all, but neither is New England's porous pass defense. That makes for an interesting matchup, though quarterback Tom Brady and the Patriots' offense is as capable as it gets, so that'll be the difference against a very bad Bills defense.
Prediction: Patriots 30, Bills 14

Dan's take:
The Patriots' weak spot this season has been closing out games in the fourth quarter, except against the Bills. New England scored on its last six consecutive drives in its first matchup in Buffalo, aided by three turnovers in the final 10 minutes. New England will be looking to add to its strong turnover numbers, while Buffalo will try to force a couple of its own against Tom Brady, who was pretty much perfect in Week 4 and is putting up MVP-like numbers.
Prediction: Patriots 34, Bills 24

Sean's take:
In each of the past two matchups between these long-time rivals, the Bills have gone into halftime with a seven-point lead. However, they have then been outscored 80-14 in the final two quarters of those games. This week's edition will feel like business as usual as Brady out-guns Fitzpatrick en route to another convincing victory.
Prediction: Patriots 35, Bills 17