Week 11 AFC East game picks: Dolphins at Bills

Lead writer Nick St. Denis and AFC East Daily contributors Dan Begnoche and Sean Donovan pick the Miami Dolphins' AFC East bout with the Buffalo Bills.

Nick's take:

Flip a coin. The Bills' defense is terrible in nearly every facet, and the Dolphins' is sliding. Ryan Fitzpatrick is inconsistent and turnover-prone, and Ryan Tannehill, while mostly impressive this season, is a rookie coming off the worst game of his young career. The difference in this one is Buffalo's clear advantage as the Thursday night home team. C.J. Spiller has a big game, too.

Prediction: Bills 26, Dolphins 23

Sean's take:

Both teams are looking to shake from their respective losing skids in their lone collective primetime game of the season. Coming off a historic letdown at home, the overall-superior Dolphins will need to avoid the catastrophic turovers on offense and blown coverages on defense. They do, and they win.
Prediction: Dolphins 27, Bills 21

Dan's take:

Look for Buffalo's linebackers to clamp down on the Dolphins' short passing game and dare Tannehill to go long, while Fitzpatrick will try to continue his success of late and open things up for the playmaker Spiller. The team that can wrangle its turnovers will take this one, with both teams averaging around two a game.

Prediction: Bills 28, Dolphins 17